Melawan Kemustahilan – Berapa Peluang Anda Berhasil Dalam Trading?

Mungkin Anda pernah mendengar bahwa 95% trader merugi dan hanya 5% trader yang bisa profit konsisten dari market.

Mungkin terdengar seperti berlebihan. Tetapi itulah kenyataan yang terjadi.

Salah satu broker forex (FXPro) dalam iklannya mengatakan bahwa 80% trader kehilangan uang saat trading menggunakan jasa mereka.

Apa pelajaran yang bisa diambil melihat data diatas?

TRADING MERUPAKAN PEKERJAAN YANG SANGAT SULIT!

Anda harus berhati-hati terhadap siapapun yang mengatakan trading itu mudah.

Tidak ada istilah “Easy Money” dalam trading!

Jika untuk berhasil dalam trading sangat sulit, lantas berapakah peluang Anda berhasil?

Jawabannya tergantung.

Jika Anda datang ke dunia trading dengan harapan cepat kaya?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda trading dan berpikir bisa mendapatkan uang dengan mudah?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda berpikir tidak perlu KERJA KERAS dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda menganggap trading seperti arena perjudian?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda memperlakukan trading hanya seperti hobi?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Anda mencari yang pasti-pasti dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda TIDAK MEMPERLAKUKAN TRADING SEPERTI SEBUAH BISNIS?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda trading tanpa memiliki Probabilistic Mindset?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak mengetahui dengan baik tentang instrumen finansial apa yang Anda tradingkan?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memahami probabilitas dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak mengetahui cara kerja kerugian dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memahami dengan baik konsep RISK OF RUIN (Risiko Bangkrut)?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak tahu caranya bagaimana mencegah Risk of Ruin ketika trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memahami tentang Sistem Trading dengan Positive Expectancy?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memahami Teknikal Analisis?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda trading tanpa menggunakan Sistem Trading yang Profitable?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak pernah melakukan Research dan Backtesting terhadap Sistem Trading Anda?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda trading menggunakan strategi trading yang tidak sesuai dengan karakter dan kepribadian Anda?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak konsisten menjalankan sistem trading Anda?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda melakukan keputusan beli jual berdasarkan emosi dan feeling?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak mengetahui STATISTIK STRATEGI TRADING yang Anda gunakan?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memiliki Trading Plan pada setiap transaksi?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak memiliki TRADING RULES yang jelas dan spesifik?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda selalu dikuasai rasa takut dan serakah berlebihan dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda mengabaikan Risk Management yang benar?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak melakukan Money Management yang benar saat trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

And trading tanpa menggunakan Stop Loss?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Anda tidak tahu apa-apa tentang Position Sizing yang benar dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Anda tidak memahami dengan baik MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak pernah melakukan Jurnal Trading (mencatat semua transaksi Anda)?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak pernah melakukan review dan analisa terhadap semua kesalahan dalam trading?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak pernah melakukan perbaikan atas kesalahan yang pernah Anda lakukan?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda terlalu cepat menyerah pada kegagalan?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Jika Anda tidak mau melewati Proses Trading yang benar?

Berapa peluang berhasilnya? Nol Persen!

 

Anda lihat? TRADING PEKERJAAN SULIT!

Trading tidak untuk orang-orang lemah otak, lemah mental dan lemah semangat.

Trading tidak untuk orang-orang malas belajar, malas mikir, malas menganalisa, malas kerja dan malas berjuang.

Setelah membaca tulisan ini, apakah Anda masih heran kenapa hingga saat ini Anda masih gagal sebagai trader dan tak kunjung bisa memperoleh profit konsisten?

Semua hal-hal yang saya sebutkan diatas merupakan perkerjan sulit.

Dan orang cenderung tidak mau melakukan “hal-hal sulit”.

Maunya serba gampang.

Ittulah sebabnya peluang Anda berhasil dalam trading itu SANGAAAAAAAAAAT KECIL!

Katakanlah Anda sudah mengkuti proses trading yang benar, Anda sudah mengetahui dengan baik seluk-beluk instrument finansial yang Anda tradingkan, Anda sudah tahu gaya trading yang akan Anda gunakan, Anda sudah memiliki sistem trading yang cocok dengan diri Anda sendiri, Anda sudah melakukan backtesting terhadap sistem trading tersebut dan hasilnya memiliki positive expectancy, Anda juga sudah melakukan forward testing pada strategi tersebut dan hasilnya seperti yang Anda harapkan, Anda juga sudah mengetahui dengan baik apa saja kelemahan dan keunggulan strategi trading Anda, kapan strategi trading Anda memberikan hasil maksimal dan kapan berkinerja buruk, Anda juga tahu secara detail statistik trading yang dimiliki oleh strategi trading Anda, Anda juga sudah memiliki probabilistic mindset, Anda memperlakukan trading seperti bisnis yang serius, Anda penuh persiapan (baik secara mental, emosional, maupun finansial), Anda juga memiliki ekspektasi yang benar terhadap hasil trading Anda, Anda menjalankan strategi trading Anda dengan displin dan konsisten, Anda melakukan jurnal trading, Anda melakukan review dan memperbaiki kesalahan, Anda memberikan waktu pada diri Anda 5-6 tahun untuk mengasah skill trading Anda, Anda mencatat apa yang berhasil dan apa yang tidak berhasil dan Anda memiliki komitmen kuat untuk berhasil.

Jika melakukan semua hal diatas berapa peluang Anda berhasil?

Mungkin sekitar 5%.

Angka segitu sudah cukup bagus.

Memperoleh profit konsisten dari trading bukan sesuatu yang mustahil. Itu bisa dicapai. Tapi tidak mudah.

TIDAK ADA SUKSES YANG PERMANEN

Jika sampai saat ini saya bisa profit konsisten dari trading, itu hanya merupakan sukses masa lalu.

Besok, minggun depan, bulan depan atau tahun depan bisa saja saya gagal lagi jika tidak melakukan kebiasaan-kebiasaan yang mendukung saya untuk bisa profit konsisten.

Agar tetap bisa profit konsisten hingga 50 tahun lagi, maka saya harus melakukan kebiasaan-kebiasaan trading yang benar SETIAP HARI SELAMA 50 TAHUN KEDEPAN.

Apaka itu pekerjaan mudah?

Tidak!

Sukses dalam trading merupakan sebuah perjalanan panjang nan melelahkan yang tidak berujung.

Sukses hanya masalah serangkaian kebiasan yang Anda lakukan setiap hari.

Ngomong-ngomong, jika Anda berpikir untuk mencari bisnis lain yang kelihatannya lebih “mudah” daripada trading maka Anda harus siap gigit jari lagi.

Tidak ada bisnis yang mudah.

Kesuksesan dalam hal apapun di dunia ini merupakan minoritas.

Jika saat ini Anda lelah, istirahatlah sebentar. Ketahuilah trading itu seperti Marathon bukan Sprint.

Ingatlah kembali bahwa sukses dalam trading layak untuk diperjuangkan.

 

Good Luck!

Enjoy the process and have good trading habits!

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